Summary of contents for the Server Operating Systems Market Model

Major Categories

Worldwide License Shipments Windows NT

NT Model

Server Operating System Market Model

Workgroup Strategic Services, Inc.
All Figures are Expressed in Thousands
1995 by Workgroup Strategic Services, Inc.
Windows NT Server - All Shipments
1994
1995
1996
1997
1994-96
New Server Licenses - 3.5.X
110
220
350
350
78%
Upgrade Server Licenses
35
45
170
110
120%
Total Server Licenses
145
265
520
460
89%
New User Licenses - NT 3.5.X
660
1,970
5,100
8,400
178%
Upgrade User Licenses - NT
140
200
2,050
2,000
283%
Total User Licenses
800
2,170
7,150
10,400
199%
Average # NT Users Per Server
5.5
8.2
13.8
22.6
58%
Average # Win/Win95 Users Per Server
31.5
34.8
39.3
49.4
12%
Total # of Users
37
43
53
72
20%
945
2,435
7,670
10,860
Windows NT
Worldwide License Shipments (000)
1994 - 1997
Windows NT Server & Client - Customer Revenue Shipments
(Microsoft and OEM)
1994
1995
1996
1997
1994-96
New Dedicated Server Licenses - Inc. Cairo and Networked OLE Server
60
135
250
265
104%
Upgrade Dedicated Server Licenses from Installed Base
15
20
60
85
100%
Total Server Licenses
75
155
310
350
103%
% of All NT As Dedicated Server
8%
6%
4%
3%
New Client Licenses - Used as Peer Server
70
110
210
110
73%
Upgrade User Licenses (Win, DOS and Win95) - Used As Peer Server
140
145
1,890
2,000
267%
Total Licenses
210
255
2,100
2,110
216%
% of All NT As Non-Dedicated Server
22%
10%
27%
19%
Total NT Used as "Server"
285
410
2,410
2,460
191%
% of All NT As Dedicated and Non-Dedicated Server
30%
17%
31%
23%
Net New Client Dedicated Licenses - NT
510
875
1,100
2,250
47%
Upgrade Client Licenses - From NT to NT Versions
145
850
1,250
3,000
194%
Upgrade Client Licenses - From DOS/WIN to NT Versions
5
300
500
250
Upgrade Client Licenses - From Win95 to NT & Cairo Clients
0
0
2,410
2,900
N.A.
Total Dedicated Client Licenses
660
2,025
5,260
8,400
182%
% of All NT As Client
70%
83%
69%
77%
Total NT Family
945
2,435
7,670
10,860
185%
Server Based Operating Systems
Windows NT Server
Server OS and Application Revenue Profile ($000)
If Sold Value
1994 - 1997
CAGR
1994
1995
1996
1997
1994-96
Windows NT Server
New Server License Revenue
$49,500
$92,400
$140,000
$131,250
68%
Upgrade Server License Revenue
$12,267
$139,500
$51,000
$33,000
104%
Total Server License Revenue
$61,767
$231,900
$191,000
$164,250
76%
Average Number of New NT Server Applications
1.1
1.8
2.3
2.6
41%
Average Value of New NT Server Applications
$1,406
$2,214
$2,700
$5,070
39%
Total Market Value of New NT Server Apps.
$203,973
$586,710
$1,404,000
$2,332,200
162%
Average Number of Upgraded NT Server Applications
1.3
1.6
2.1
2.5
30%
Average Value of Upgraded NT Server Applications
$624
$768
$945
$1,000
23%
Total Market Value of Upgraded NT Server Apps.
$90,473
$203,520
$491,400
$460,000
133%
Total Value of NT Server Applications
$294,446
$790,230
$1,895,400
$2,792,200
154%
Server Based Operating Systems
Windows NT Server
Client OS and Application Revenue Profile ($000)
If Sold Value
1994 - 1997
CAGR
1994
1995
1996
1997
1994-96
Windows NT Server
New Client License Revenue - NT
$85,800
$236,425
$561,000
$840,000
156%
Upgrade Client Licenses - NT
$12,585
$17,000
$164,000
$140,000
261%
Total Client License Revenue - NT
$98,385
$253,425
$725,000
$980,000
171%
Average Number of New Client Applications
1.1
1.8
2.3
2.6
41%
Average Number of Upgraded Client Applications
1.3
1.6
2.1
2.5
30%
Value of New Client Applications (Actual $)
$444
$711
$889
$1,027
41%
Total Value of Upgraded Client Applications (Actual $)
$244
$288
$368
$375
23%
Total Value of New Client Applications
$16,442
$30,573
$47,104
$73,944
69%
Total Value of Upgraded Client Applications
$9,019
$12,384
$19,478
$27,000
47%
Total Client Applications
$25,461
$42,957
$66,581
$100,944
62%
Server Based Operating Systems
Windows NT Server
Total Client and Server OS and Application Revenue Profile ($000)
If Sold Value
1994 - 1997
CAGR
1994
1995
1996
1997
1994-96
Windows NT Server
Total Server OS Revenue - New And Upgrades
$61,767
$231,900
$191,000
$164,250
76%
Total Server Application Revenue - New And Upgrades
$294,446
$790,230
$1,895,400
$2,792,200
154%
Total Server
$356,212
$1,022,130
$2,086,400
$2,956,450
142%
Total Client OS Revenue - New And Upgrades
$98,385
$253,425
$725,000
$980,000
171%
Total Client Application Revenue - New And Upgrades
$25,461
$42,957
$66,581
$100,944
62%
Total Client
$123,846
$296,382
$791,581
$1,080,944
153%
Total OS Revenue
$160,152
$485,325
$916,000
$1,144,250
139%
Total Application Revenue
$319,907
$833,187
$1,961,981
$2,893,144
148%
Total Revenue
$480,059
$1,318,512
$2,877,981
$4,037,394
145%
Server Based Operating Systems
Cairo (Future Object Enabled Windows NT)
Worldwide License Shipments (000)
1994 - 1997
CAGR
1994
1995
1996
1997
1994-96
Cairo (Future Object Enabled Windows NT)
New Server Licenses
0
0
40
150
N.A.
Upgrade Server Licenses
0
0
10
70
N.A.
Total Server Licenses
0
0
50
220
N.A.
New User Licenses
0
0
550
3,100
N.A.
Upgrade User Licenses
0
0
160
1,350
N.A.
Total User Licenses
0
0
710
4,450
N.A.
Average # NT Users Per Server
N.A.
N.A.
14
20
N.A.
Average # Win/Win95 Users Per Server
N.A.
N.A.
18
24
N.A.
Total # of Users
N.A.
N.A.
32
44
N.A.
Server Based Operating Systems
Unit Sales by Channel
Worldwide License Shipments (000)
1994 - 1997
CAGR
1994
1995
1996
1997
1994-96
VAR 132341 1151 1629
195%
14% 14%15% 15%
Mail Order 5797 268380
118%
6% 4%4% 4%
Direct/Microsoft/OEM 359901 2800 3801
179%
38% 37%37% 35%
System Integrator 255755 2608 3910
220%
27% 31%34% 36%
Dealer - Regional/Non-National 113268 575706
125%
12% 11%8% 7%
Other 2873 268434
208%
3% 3%4% 4%
Total 9452,435 7,670 10,860
185%
100% 100% 100% 100%
Server Based Operating Systems
Unit Sales by Industry
Worldwide License Shipments (000)
1994 - 1997
CAGR
1994
1995
1996
1997
1994-96
Retail/Distribution
30
97
384
543
258%
3%
4%
5%
5%
Banking & Finance
220
536
1,687
2,172
177%
23%
22%
22%
20%
Insurance
47
97
307
326
155%
5%
4%
4%
3%
Medical
28
73
307
434
229%
3%
3%
4%
4%
Education
19
49
230
326
249%
2%
2%
3%
3%
Services
95
244
844
1,195
199%
10%
10%
11%
11%
Government
47
122
307
434
155%
5%
5%
4%
4%
Discrete Mfg.
170
438
1,304
1,846
177%
18%
18%
17%
17%
Process Mfg.
85
268
767
1,195
200%
9%
11%
10%
11%
Transportation
28
97
153
217
133%
3%
4%
2%
2%
Utilities
23
59
77
109
82%
2%
2%
1%
1%
Telecommunications
113
292
1,074
1,738
208%
12%
12%
14%
16%
Wholesale Distribution
28
49
153
217
133%
3%
2%
2%
2%
Other
9
24
77
109
185%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Total
945
2,435
7,670
10,860
185%

Last Update: 10/95

Name: wgss